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    能谱CT联合多因素构建风险预测模型对非小细胞肺癌术前淋巴结转移的价值研究

    Construction and evaluation of a risk prediction model for preoperative lymph node metastasis in non-small cell lung cancer using spectral CT and multiple factors

    • 摘要: 目的 探讨能谱CT联合多因素构建风险预测模型对非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)术前淋巴结转移(LNM)的价值。方法 选取2023年1月至2025年1月于徐州医科大学第二附属医院行能谱CT检查并经病理确诊为NSCLC的150例患者回顾性分析临床、病理及影像学资料。根据术后病理结果将患者分为转移组和非转移组,测量计算癌灶在动静脉期的能谱CT参数。通过统计学分析筛选预测NSCLC患者LNM的独立影响因素。构建预测模型,评估该模型对LNM的预测价值。结果 本研究构建的列线图模型对术前预测NSCLC患者LNM统计学检验具有显著性(χ2=104.094,P<0.001),模型的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.933(95%CI:0.883~0.982),特异度为0.766,敏感度为0.990。结论 基于能谱CT参数和肿瘤指标构建的联合列线图模型对NSCLC患者LNM预测具有较高的临床应用价值,能够为临床治疗方案的选择提供一定依据。

       

      Abstract: Objective To investigate the value of a risk prediction model constructed by spectral CT and multiple factors for preoperative lymph node metastasis (LNM) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).Methods Retrospective analysis was conducted on 150 patients who were underwent spectral CT examination and pathologically diagnosed with NSCLC at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from January 2023 to January 2025. Their clinical characteristics, pathological and imaging data were collected. Based on postoperative pathological results, the patients were divided into a metastatic group and a non-metastatic group. Spectral CT parameters of the tumor at arterial and venous phases were measured. Statistical analysis was performed to identify independent factors influencing LNM in NSCLC patients, and a prediction model was constructed. The predictive value of this model for LNM was evaluated.Results The established nomogram model exhibited significant predictive value for preoperative LNM in NSCLC patients (χ2=104.094, P<0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.933 (95%CI: 0.883-0.982), with a specificity of 0.766 and a sensitivity of 0.990.Conclusions The combined nomogram model based on spectral CT parameters and tumor markers has high clinical application value in predicting LNM in NSCLC patients, providing a certain basis for the selection of clinical treatment regimens.

       

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