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    中性粒细胞/白蛋白比值对脓毒症患儿死亡风险的预测价值

    Application of neutrophil/albumin ratio in predicting the risk of death in children with sepsis

    • 摘要: 目的 探讨中性粒细胞/白蛋白比值(NAR)与脓毒症患儿病情的相关性及对死亡风险的预测价值。方法 选取2017年1月—2019年10月徐州医科大学附属医院收治的脓毒症患儿,共325例。根据发病后28 d的生存情况将患儿分为存活组296例、死亡组29例。存活组患儿根据小儿危重病例评分(PCIS)分为极危重组(36例)、危重组(217例)、非危重组(43例)。比较不同组间患儿中性粒细胞计数、白细胞计数、C反应蛋白(CRP)和白蛋白水平、中性粒细胞/白蛋白比值(NAR)间的差异。采用ROC曲线分析NAR对脓毒症患儿死亡风险的预测价值。结果 与死亡组比较,极危重组、危重组、非危重组间NAR值显著降低,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。极危重组、危重组、非危重组与死亡组间白细胞计数、中性粒细胞计数、CRP和白蛋白水平比较,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。与死亡组相比,存活组NAR值显著降低,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。存活组与死亡组中性粒细胞计数、白蛋白水平比较,差异无统计意义(P>0.05)。ROC曲线显示,NAR值为0.45时ROC曲线下面积AUC为0.93,95%CI为0.86~0.99,灵敏度为90.91%,特异度为91.67%。结论 NAR可较好地反映脓毒症患儿病情的严重程度,且具有预测其死亡风险的价值。

       

      Abstract: Objective To investigate the relationship between neutrophil/albumin ratio (NAR) and the severity of sepsis in children with sepsis and to evaluate the use of NAR to predict death risk. Methods A total of 325 children with sepsis who were admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from January 2017 to October 2019 were enrolled. According to their survival 28 days after the onset of sepsis, they were divided into two groups: a survival group (n=296) and a death group (n=29). According to their pediatric critical illness scores (PCIS), the survival group was divided into three groups: a critically severe group (n=36), a severe group (n=217) and a non-severe group (n=43). Their neutrophil count, white cell count, C reaction protein (CRP) and albumin levels and NAR were compared. The ROC curve was adopted to evaluate the predictive use of NAR on the risk of death in children with sepsis. Results Compared with the death group, remarkable decreases in NAR were found in the critically severe group, severe group and non-severe group (P<0.05). There were no statistical differences in white cell count, neutrophil count, CRP and albumin levels among the four groups (P>0.05). Compared with the death group, the survival group presented significantly decreased NAR (P<0.05). There were no statistical differences in neutrophil count and albumin level between the survival group and the death group (P>0.05). According to ROC curve, when NAR was 0.45, the AUC under ROC curve was 0.93, 95% CI (0.86-0.99), with a sensitivity of 90.91% and a specificity of 91.67%. Conclusions NAR can well reflect the severity of sepsis, and has a positive role in predicting the risk of death in children with sepsis.

       

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