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    改良吸烟指数对胸腔镜肺癌根治术后患者并发血栓栓塞性疾病的预测价值

    Prognostic value of improved smoking in dex in patients with thromboembolic disease after thoracoscopic radical resection of lung cancer

    • 摘要: 目的 评价改良吸烟指数对胸腔镜肺癌根治术患者围术期发生动静脉血栓栓塞性疾病的预测价值并提出最佳诊断值。方法 回顾性分析2015年1月—2019年12月因原发性肺癌行胸腔镜标准肺癌根治术的123例患者的临床资料,并根据围术期是否发生血栓栓塞性疾病分为栓塞组35例(静脉栓塞13例,动脉栓塞22例)和非栓塞组88例。比较2组间年龄、性别、体重指数(BMI)、肿瘤组织类型、肿瘤分期、既往病史、饮酒史、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)病史、全麻时长、卧床时间、手术方式以及改良吸烟指数、白介素-6(IL-6)水平;应用受试者工作特征 (ROC) 曲线,评价改良吸烟指数、IL-6对动静脉血栓栓塞性疾病的预测价值。结果 与非栓塞组相比,栓塞组全麻时长、改良吸烟指数和IL-6均显著升高(P<0.05),其余因素差异未见统计学意义。多因素Logistic回归分析显示改良吸烟指数、全麻时长、高血压以及年龄是胸腔镜肺癌根治术后患者发生血栓栓塞性疾病的独立危险因素。改良吸烟指数预测动脉栓塞性疾病的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.903(95%CI:0.831~0.951),最佳临界值为26.44,预测敏感度为77.27%,特异度为93.18%;而其预测静脉栓塞性疾病的AUC为0.780(95%CI:0.687~0.856),最佳临界值为26.44,预测敏感度为53.85%,特异度为93.18%。IL-6预测栓塞性疾病的ROC曲线下面积为0.917(95%CI:0.853~0.959),最佳临界值为0.062 8 μg/L,预测敏感度为94.29%,特异度为78.41%。结论 联合应用改良吸烟指数和IL-6进行胸腔镜肺癌根治术后发生动静脉血栓栓塞性疾病的预测,有利于血栓栓塞性疾病的早期预防和治疗,对改善预后有重要意义。

       

      Abstract: Objective To evaluate the predictive value of improved smoking index in patients with arteriovenous thromboembolic disease after thoracoscopic radical resection of lung cancer and predict the optimal diagnostic value. Methods A total of 123 patients who were diagnosed with primary lung cancer and treated with thoracoscopic radical resection from January, 2015 to November, 2019 were enrolled and their clinical data were retrospectively analyzed. According to the occurrence of thromboembolic disease during the perioperative period, the patients were divided into two groups:a thromboembolic group (n=35, including 13 cases of venous embolization and 22 cases of arterial embolization) and a non-thromboembolic group (n=88). Both groups were compared for age, sex, body weight index (BMI), tumor type and classification, past history, alcohol consumption, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), the length of anesthesia, time in bed, type of surgery, improved smoking index and interleukin (IL)-6 levels. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to evaluate the value of improved smoking index and IL-6 in predicting thromboembolic disease. Results Compared with the non-thromboembolic group, the thromboembolic group showed remarkable increases in the length of anesthesia, improved smoking index and IL-6 levels (P<0.05). There were no differences in other factors. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that improved smoking index, length of anesthesia, hypertension and age were independent risk factors for postoperative thromboembolic disease after thoracoscopic surgery. Furthermore, the AUC of improved smoking index for predicting arterial embolization was 0.903 (95%CI: 0.831-0.951), with the optimal cut-off value of 26.44, and a predictive sensitivity of and 77.27%, and a specificity of 93.18%. In contrast, the AUC of improved smoking index for predicting venous embolization was 0.780 (95%CI: 0.687-0.856), with an optimal cut-off value of 26.44, a predictive sensitivity of 53.85% and a specificity of 93.18%, respectively. The AUC of IL-6 for predicting thromboembolic disease was 0.917 (95%CI: 0.853-0.959), with an optimal cut-off value of 0.062 8 μg/L, a predictive sensitivity of 94.29% and a specificity of 78.41%. Conclusions The combined use of improved smoking index and IL-6 can be adopted to predict arteriovenous thromboembolic disease after thoracoscopic radical resection of lung cancer, which will be supportive for early prevention and treatment of thromboembolic disease, with important significance for improving the prognosis of these patients.

       

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