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    EIPI评分对晚期食管鳞状细胞癌患者接受PD-1抑制剂免疫治疗的疗效及预后预测价值研究

    Predictive value of EIPI score on the efficacy and prognosis of patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing PD-1 inhibitor therapy

    • 摘要: 目的 探讨食管免疫预后指数(EIPI)评分对接受PD-1抑制剂免疫治疗的晚期食管鳞状细胞癌(ESCC)患者的疗效及预后的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2019年6月—2022年11月在淮安市第二人民医院接受PD-1抑制剂免疫治疗的晚期ESCC患者治疗前的基线资料及实验室数据。根据治疗前衍生中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(dNLR)和乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)值,将患者分为2组:EIPI评分良好组和EIPI评分中/差组。采用Kaplan-Meier和log-rank比较2组中位总体生存期(OS)和中位无进展生存期(PFS)。Cox比例风险回归模型确定独立预后因素。结果 共纳入98例患者,EIPI评分良好组47例,评分中/差组51例。EIPI评分良好组疗效优于评分中/差组(55.3% vs 35.3%,P=0.046),EIPI评分中/差组的中位PFS (6.2个月)和OS (11.0个月)显著短于EIPI评分良好组(P=0.02,P=0.008)。多因素Cox回归分析显示EIPI评分是接受PD-1抑制剂治疗的晚期ESCC患者PFS (HR=2.11,95% CI:1.21~3.70,P=0.009)及OS (HR=3.44,95% CI:1.66~7.14,P=0.001)的独立危险因素。结论 EIPI评分可作为接受PD-1抑制剂治疗的晚期ESCC患者疗效及预后的预测指标。

       

      Abstract: Objective To explore the predictive value of esophageal immune prognostic index(EIPI) on the efficacy and prognosis of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma(ESCC) patients undergoing PD-1 inhibitor therapy.Methods The advanced ESCC patients treated with PD-1 inhibitors at Huai'an Second People's Hospital from June 2019 to November 2022 were included, and their baseline data and laboratory results before treatment were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were then divided into two groups based on the derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) before treatment:a good EIPI score group and a moderate/poor EIPI score group. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to compare the median overall survival (OS) and median progression-free survival (PFS) between the two groups. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was employed to identify independent prognostic factors.Results A total of 98 patients were enrolled, including 47 patients in the good EIPI score group and 51 patients in the moderate/poor EIPI score group. The good EIPI score group exhibited better efficacy than the moderate/poor EIPI score group (55.3% vs. 35.3%, P=0.046). The median progression-free survival (PFS) (6.2 months) and overall survival (OS) (11.0 months) in the moderate/poor EIPI score group were significantly shorter than those in the good EIPI score group (P=0.02, P=0.008). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that EIPI score was an independent risk factor for PFS (HR=2.11, 95% CI:1.21-3.70, P=0.009) and OS (HR=3.44, 95% CI:1.66-7.14, P=0.001) in ESCC patients undergoing PD-1 inhibitor therapy.Conclusions EIPI score can serve as a predictive indicator for the efficacy and prognosis of ESCC patients undergoing PD-1 inhibitor therapy.

       

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